I have a free month of Xbox Live Gold because I just signed up, so I figured I might as well try to get the online achievements while I can. I’m not really an online gamer for the most part, but it was fun. I was trying to get the “five-in-a-row wins” achievement.

I kept running into the same few people online — because it was late, or not many people play on Hard*, or everyone’s playing Guitar.

* I would play Expert, but the songs are random, and I can’t stand playing “Don’t Fear the Reaper” with its ten billion bass notes in a row.

After playing **Shoombabi** I think two times, we played again and got “Should I Stay or Should I Go.” This was the final result:

TIE! We both missed the SAME SINGLE NOTE! It wasn’t even an off-beat note or anything! It was almost at the very end of the song (the 986th note, not sure how many there are total). I know I hit it, and he said he hit it too, so what’s up? Either both our drums happened to glitch on us at the same time, or the game glitched. Crazy. Who else has gotten a tie (not counting 100% ties)?

Oh, and I did eventually get the achievement. :)

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**Update:** Regarding the probability of this happening (if it wasn’t just a glitch):

Assuming there are exactly 1000 notes total, for the sake of simplicity, there’s a 1/1000 chance of randomly selecting a “chosen” note. ~~But we BOTH missed the same note, which would be:~~

~~1/1000 * 1/1000 = 1 in 1,000,000!~~

Correction by WildBillKickoff:

Actually, the chances of missing the same note in a scenario like that would be 1 in 1000, assuming you both intentionally missed one random note. You can’t count the first 1 in 1000. It’s one in a million that you would both miss that one

exactnote.

However, that probability is only if we CHOSE to only miss one note! But we didn’t, we *accidentally* each missed only one note, and it was the same note. We could have missed more notes. So there’s the probability that we each missed one note only, and the probability that it was the same note, and the probability that we were playing against each other when it happened, and…. [insert head spinning emoticon]

Anyway, the point is, it was very unlikely!

The problem with your math is that it assumes an equal skill level and an equal level of difficulty for each and every note (which is, clearly, not the case).

Also true, though this song in particular doesn’t have much variation. The beat is pretty steady through the entire song, with no real offbeats. That’s how we both knew we hit the note, it was the same pattern we’d been playing over and over for the last few minutes.

I’m not going to try and figure out the TRUE probability of it, just a rough estimate. “Very unlikely” is good enough for me, heh.

Man. 2007. So long ago. I miss my Rock Band dominance days. I know it sounds outrageous, but I most definitely remember being seriously ticked off that the note dropped bc I was on a rampage around that point in my RB career. So odd for me to have stumbled across this.